Monday, November 29, 2010

Florida Results

Florida Senate
Rubio (R) 40%
Crist (I) 30%
Meek (D) 20%

Florida Governor
Scott (R) 49%
Sink (D) 48%

8th District
Webster (R) 56%
Grayson (D) 38%

Monday, November 15, 2010

In the General Election on November 2^nd the Republican party had significant gains in Pennsylvania. Tom Corbett (R) defeated Dan Onorato by ten points 54.5% to 45.5%. Corbett received 2,137,983 votes and Onorato only received 1,783,995 votes. In addition, Corbett had a surprise win in Allegheny County by two points. Pittsburgh was considered a stronghold for Onorato and the Democrats. Furthermore, Corbett will replace Ed Rendell (D) as governor and try to handle the many issues that face Pennsylvania in the coming years.

The Senate race proved to be very dramatic on election night. Pat Toomey (R) ended up winning in a highly contested election against Joe Sestak (D) 51% to 49%. Toomey received 1,995,026 votes and Sestak received only 1,916,703 votes. The polling proved to be accurate as they predicted Toomey would win by two points. This was a major win for the GOP who is trying to gain the majority in the Senate.

In the ten Congressional races in Pennsylvania the Republicans picked up five seats and held three of their seats. Democratic candidate’s held three seats which were districts in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh. The GOP gains in Pennsylvania helped the party become the majority in the Congress.

Thursday, November 11, 2010

Arkansas Results

In regards to the races in Arkansas, everyone that was predicted to win, ended up winning!

Boozman (a Republican) beat out current Senator Blanche Lincoln for a spot in Sentate by a 21.1 margin.

Mike Beebe (a Democrat) beat out Republican Jim Keet (Republican) for Governor by a margin of 30.9.

Both of these spreads are pretty significant, and these results had previously been determined by the polls the past few weeks.

In the Arkansas District 4 Race, Mike Ross (Democrat) beat out Beth Anne Rankin (Democrat) by gaining 58% of the vote, compared to Rankin's 40%.

In the Arkansas District 1 Race, Rick Crawford (Republican) beat out Chad Causey (Democrat) 52% to 43%.

In the Arkansas District 2 Race, Tim Griffin (Republican) beat out Joyce Elliot (Democrat) by gaining 58% of the vote compared to Joyce's 38%.

Once again, these spreads are pretty significant, but were also pre-determined. It is interesting to note that Arkansas picked more Republicans than Democrats. It is also interesting that they picked a Republican senator but a Democratic Governor. We shall see what these people can do for Arkansas in the next two years!

Thursday, November 4, 2010

Missouri election results

Missouri Senate
Roy Blunt (R) 54.3%
Robin Carnahan (D) 40.6%

Missouri House- District 3
Russ Carnahan (D) 49%
Ed Martin (R) 47%

Missouri House- District 4
Vicky Hartzler (R) 50%
Ike Skelton (D) 45%

Missouri House- District 5
Emmanuel Cleaver (D) 53%
Jacob Turk (R) 44%

Wednesday, November 3, 2010

South Carolina Election Results

South Carolina Senate
Jim DeMint 62.4%
Alvin Greene 28.2%

South Carolina Governor
Nikki Haley 51.4%
Vincent Sheheen 47.1%

South Carolina House- District 5
Mick Mulvaney 55.1%
John Spratt 44.7%

Reid Survives in Nevada; 3rd House District Goes Red

As of this afternoon on Wednesday, November 3, 2010, all precincts have reported in Nevada’s elections. Harry Reid has soundly defeated Tea Party-backed Sharron Angle by a margin of about 40,000 votes:

Harry Reid (D) 50.2% 361,655 votes

Sharron Angle (R) 44.6% 320,996 votes

None of these 2.2% 16,174 votes

Angle was unable to compensate for Reid’s large electoral gains in Clark and Washoe Counties (housing Las Vegas and Reno respectively) despite her sweep of Nevada’s other counties (except for Mineral County which had a 30 vote difference in favor of Reid).

As expected, the Nevada 2^nd House District went to Republican Dean Heller and Nevada’s 1^st House District (encompassing Las Vegas proper) reelected Democrat Shelley Berkley.

Dean Heller (R) 63.3% 169,286 votes

Nancy Price (D) 32.6% 87,226 votes

Shelley Berkley (D) 61.7% 102,870 votes

Kenneth Wegner (R) 35.3% 58,920 votes

Perhaps the closest race in Nevada was for the 3^rd House District which was expected to be a toss-up going into November. This district, which houses Las Vegas’ suburbs is more moderate and consists of relatively equal strengths between Republicans and Democrats. The incumbent, Dina Titus (D) was defeated by a small margin (about 2,000 votes or less than 1%). As a result, Republican Joe Heck successfully persuaded the voters of the 3^rd District to swap the party representing them in Washington D.C.

Joe Heck (R) 48.2% 128,703 votes

Dina Titus (D) 47.4% 126,781 votes

Update November 3, 2010 Chicago Tribune Election Center

Governor:

99% of precincts reported Quinn ( D) 1,694,196 at 46.5%, Brady ( R ) 1,685,847 at 46.2% and other candidates Cohen ( I) 132,639 at 3.6%, Whitney ( G ) $ 98,511 at 2.7% and Green ( L) 33,922 at 0.9%

Source: Associated Press

U.S. Senate:

99% of precincts reported Mark Kirk ( R ) 1,749,941 was 48.4%, whereas Giannoulias (D) 1,667,527 at 46.1% and others candidates Jones ( G) 115,561 at 3.2% and Labno ( L) 85,492 at 2.4%.

Source: Associated Press

Attorney General:

99% of precincts reported Madigan (D ), 2,336,312 at 64.5%, Kim (R ) 1,152,614 at 31.8%, Kim (R) 1,152,614 at 31.8% others candidates Black (G) 80,828 at 2.2% and Malan ( L) 53,391 at 1.5%

Source: Associated Press

Secretary of State:

99% of precincts reported White (D) 2,525,331 at 69% Enriquez ( R ) 984,462 at 27.2% and Hanson ( L) 112,967 at 3.1%.

Updated 8:32 a.m. Nov. 3, 2010

Source: Associated Press

Treasurer:.

99% of precincts reported Rutherford ( R ) 1,782,193 at 50.0%, Kell ( D) 1,600,142 at 44.9%, Summers ( G) 113,321 at 3.2%. and Rauly ( L) 67,383 at 1 %

Comptroller:

99% of precincts reported Baar Topinka (R ) 1,894,007 at 52.9%, Miller (D), 1,451,668 at 40.6%,Miller (D) 1,451,668 at 40.6%, Fox (L) 118,773 at 3.3%, and Schafer (G) 114,423 at 3.2% Source: Associated Press

Congressional

1st Congressional District

98% of precincts reporting

Updated 8:32 a.m. Nov. 3, 2010

Source: Associated Press

Rush (D)	142,441	80.0%
Wardingley (R)	28,817	16.2%
Adams (G)	6,745	3.8%

2nd Congressional District

98% of precincts reporting

Updated 8:32 a.m. Nov. 3, 2010

Source: Associated Press

Jackson, Jr. (D)	144,336	80.5%
Hayes (R)	24,969	13.9%
Williams (G)	10,099	5.6%

3rd Congressional District

98% of precincts reporting

Updated 8:32 a.m. Nov. 3, 2010

Source: Associated Press

Lipinski (D)	112,484	69.6%
Bendas (R)	39,401	24.4%
Schmidt (G)	9,769	6.0%

4th Congressional District

98% of precincts reporting

Updated 8:32 a.m. Nov. 3, 2010

Source: Associated Press

Gutierrez (D)	61,003	77.3%
Vasquez (R)	11,332	14.4%
Burns (G)	6,571	8.3%

5th Congressional District

98% of precincts reporting

Updated 8:32 a.m. Nov. 3, 2010

Source: Associated Press

Quigley (D)	105,009	70.6%
Ratowitz (R)	37,757	25.4%
Reichel (G)	5,959	4.0%

6th Congressional District

100% of precincts reporting

Updated 8:32 a.m. Nov. 3, 2010

Source: Associated Press

Roskam (R)	113,416	63.7%
Lowe (D)	64,669	36.3%

7th Congressional District

97% of precincts reporting

Updated 8:32 a.m. Nov. 3, 2010

Source: Associated Press

Davis (D)	142,635	81.4%
Weiman (R)	28,371	16.2%
Clemons (I)	4,226	2.4%

8th Congressional District

98% of precincts reporting

Updated 8:32 a.m. Nov. 3, 2010

Source: Associated Press

Walsh (R)	96,636	48.6%
Bean (D)	95,839	48.2%
Scheurer (G)	6,412	3.2%

9th Congressional District

97% of precincts reporting

Updated 8:32 a.m. Nov. 3, 2010

Source: Associated Press

Schakowsky (D)	112,019	65.9%
Pollak (R)	53,582	31.5%
Ribeiro (G)	4,272	2.5%

10th Congressional District

99% of precincts reporting

Updated 8:32 a.m. Nov. 3, 2010

Source: Associated Press

Dold (R)	108,104	51.2%
Seals (D)	103,212	48.8%

11th Congressional District

100% of precincts reporting

Updated 8:32 a.m. Nov. 3, 2010

Source: Associated Press

Kinzinger (R)	128,250	57.5%
Halvorson (D)	94,939	42.5%

12th Congressional District

100% of precincts reporting

Updated 8:32 a.m. Nov. 3, 2010

Source: Associated Press

Costello (D)	115,347	59.6%
Newman (R)	71,060	36.7%
Jennings (G)	7,111	3.7%

13th Congressional District

100% of precincts reporting

Updated 8:32 a.m. Nov. 3, 2010

Source: Associated Press

Biggert (R)	148,907	64.0%
Harper (D)	83,851	36.0%

14th Congressional District

100% of precincts reporting

Updated 8:32 a.m. Nov. 3, 2010

Source: Associated Press

Hultgren (R)	111,808	51.4%
Foster (D)	97,792	45.0%
Kairis (G)	7,892	3.6%

15th Congressional District

100% of precincts reporting

Updated 8:32 a.m. Nov. 3, 2010

Source: Associated Press

Johnson (R)	136,499	64.3%
Gill (D)	75,688	35.7%

16th Congressional District

100% of precincts reporting

Updated 8:32 a.m. Nov. 3, 2010

Source: Associated Press

Manzullo (R)	138,100	65.0%
Gaulrapp (D)	65,835	31.0%
Campbell (G)	8,414	4.0%

17th Congressional District

100% of precincts reporting

Updated 8:32 a.m. Nov. 3, 2010

Source: Associated Press

Schilling (R)	98,539	53.1%
Hare (D)	78,512	42.3%
Davis (G)	8,423	4.5%

18th Congressional District

100% of precincts reporting

Updated 8:32 a.m. Nov. 3, 2010

Source: Associated Press

Schock (R)	151,979	69.1%
Hirner (D)	56,727	25.8%
Schafer (G)	11,198	5.1%

19th Congressional District

100% of precincts reporting

Updated 8:32 a.m. Nov. 3, 2010

Source: Associated Press

Shimkus (R)	165,430	71.2%
Bagwell (D)	66,791	28.8%

Tribune, 435 N. Michigan Avenue, Chicago, IL 60611

New York: NY20, NY24, NY25 and the Senate (Christelle Le Roux)

Most of the polls were in favor of the Democrats but apparently not follow for the elections' day

NY20

The Republican Chris Gibson won against scott Murphy which is suprising compare to the polls that show Murphy ahead.

NY24:

Same thing with the 24th district, the Republican Richard Hanna won against Michael Arcuri.

NY25:

Dan Maffei stays like the polls show and won with 51% against 49% for Ann Marie Buerkle.

Senate:

Gillibrand took her seat against DioGuardi as it was told.

New York	Schumer 65%	Townsend 33%		(98%)
New York	Gillibrand 61%	DioGuardi 37%		(98%)

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Governor Extravaganza

The battle for New York's Governor is among the strangest. While Carl Paladino's campaign has begun to struggle, mostly due to his abrasive personality, he is one of the least unusual candidates running. The race has seven candidates running, one of which is a former prostitute who claims to have dealings with Eliot Spitzer. The most unique character is Jimmy McMillan, running for the Rent is to Dam High Party, who surprisingly is focused on lowering rent. Apart from his impressive facial hair his somewhat absurd statements have added a level of comedic value to the race. The recent debate between the candidates looked evolved far from the issues and was mostly nonsense. Cuomo appears to be pulling ahead once again and will undoubtedly become the next Governor.

Jay
10/21

South Carolina Update

Haley v Sheheen for Governor
Recent polls have indicated that the race for Governor in South Carolina has tighten, with the realclearpolitics.com average of Haley +7.6 over Sheheen.

The two cadnidates met for their first first televised debate. The two went back and forth attacking each other for their mistakes they have made. Sheheen talked about Haley's trustworthyness and Haley accused Sheheen of profiting from his law firm's lawsuits against state agencies.

As the two talked about issues, there was even more tension. The two will be again debating on October 25th and 26th.

DeMint v Greene for Senate
Not much has happened with this race. Jim DeMint is still leading in polls at +47. In some cases, Democratic nominee Alvin Greene is below Green Party candidates in polling.

Spratt v Mulvaney for the House
John Spratt, a 14-term incumbent is up in the polls but still has steep competition with Mick Mulvaney. Democrats have put more money into Spratt's campaign this term because of Mulvaney. This is still considered a toss up until election day.

Missouri Update

There has been little to no change in any of the Missouri elections since last week. The 4th congressional district race between Democrat Ike Skelton and Republican Vicky Hartzler still remains a toss-up. According to Politico, recent polls show that the two are in a dead heat, literally. Each candidate has 42% support, and although there was a margin of error of 5.7%, it still shows a very close race. Furthermore, in the same poll, Skelton's favorability ratings fell in at around 56%, while Hartzler was around 38%. This is very interesting because in the rural 4th district, there are many more Republicans than Democrats, yet the Democratic candidate has received a higher favorability rating. It should be very interesting to see what happens come election day. Poll:Skelton in dead heat

In regards to the 3rd congressional district race between Carnahan (D) and Martin (R), there has been no change since last week. Carnahan still holds the lead by approximately 16 points, and RealClearPolitics has labeled it as "likely Dem".

In the Senate race between Roy Blunt (R), and Robin Carnahan (D), polls show that Blunt has now leapt to a 9.7 point lead; that's up about 2 points from last week.
Blunt ad
Carnahan ad

Pennsylvania

In the Pennsylvania’s gubernatorial race Tom Corbett (R) still has a commanding lead over his opponent Dan Onorato (D). Real Clear Politics show that Corbett has an average lead of 9.3. Corbett has not faltered during the past two debates and is running a strong effective campaign that continues to gain key endorsements form organizations.

The United States senate race between Joe Sestak (D) and Pat Toomey (R) has tightened. In the last two weeks Sestak has surged in the polls. Toomey once has a commanding lead, but now recent polls show Sestak with a point or two lead. The Real Clear Politics average has Toomey at a 2.8 lead. This is within in the margin of error on many polls and this Senate seat will likely come down to a few thousand votes. President Obama and President Clinton have both campaigned for Sestak last week and have helped raise much needed campaign money. The second and last debate will take place in Pittsburgh this Friday and can be viewed on one of CBS affiliate stations.

Toomey’s new Commercial http://vimeo.com/15839128

Sestak’s new Commercial http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q9SbDnoaYX8&feature=player_embedded#!

New York: NY20, NY24, NY25 and the Senate (Christelle Le Roux)

NY 24:
According to realclearpolitics.com Arcuri seems to winner elections since 2006:

2008: Arcuri (D) 52% Hanna (R) 24.8%
2006: Arcuri (D) 54% Meier (R) 45%

A new poll shows Arcuri 10 points over Hanna, given Arcuri 47% and Hanna 37%

NY 20:
No change for this district which gives the Democract Murphy 54%

NY 25:
The recent polls give the Democrat Maffei, 51% against the Republican Buerkle 39%

Senate:
It clearly shows the Democrat's candidate (Gillibrand) leader for the Senate with 54.7% against DioGuardi with 33.3%

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Arkansas Senate Commercials

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZ3A4sj8XbQ&feature=channel

John Boozman negative campaign ad

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BmJ4CFkZwJc

Blanche Lincoln negative campaign ad

Ilinios election Update Oct 20, 2010

Ruby Trowsdell-Thompson
Governor
According to the Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey is reporting Brady is earning 46% of the vote, while Quinn picks up 40%. Democrat-turned-independent Scott Lee Cohen gets four percent (4%) support, and Green Party candidate Rich Whitney has the backing of two percent (2%). Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. Republican State Senator Bill Brady is now leading Democratic Governor Pat Quinn by just six points in Illinois’ in the gubernatorial election. Also, Republican Bill Brady has raised more than $9.3 million from July through Monday in his bid to become governor, edging out Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn, who has collected $8.7 million.
Commercial on You tube:
http://illinoisobserver.org/2010/10/19/illinois-elections-2010-mark-kirk-pat-quinn-youtube-campaign-videos-most-viewed/

U. S Senate

According to the Ramussen report a telephone survey shows that Republican Congressman Mark Kirk (44%) and have raised $8,944,741 Whereas, of Democratic Alexi Giannoulians (40%) have raise 5,684,101 in Illinois it have been up and down race for U.S. Senate. Also, other candidates such as 4% LeAlan Jones,8% Some Other Candidate, Five percent (5%) are undecided.

Secretary of State

According to Clout Street in Chicago the Secretary of State of Illinois Jesse White polling is 60% and raising more than $ 196,000 during the summer reporting and gave $20,000 to the Democrats campaign. White has reported raising more than $96,000since Oct 4 and more than $500,000 in the bank. White is pushing for Highway and Auto Safety have rated Illinois' Graduated Driver Licensing program for new drivers one of the best in the country. In contrast, White’s opponent Republican Robert Enriquez is currently at (15%) and have raised less than $10,000 during the July to early October reporting period. Enriquez had started July with only $3,300 in cash and has not raised any donations of more than $500 since Oct. 4 ( Pearson R 2010).

State Treasurer

Republican state Sen. Dan Rutherford of Chenoa raised $375,000 in the summer reporting period. He began July with more than $1 million and since Oct. 4 has raised another $66,000. His Democratic rival, Robin Kelly, have not filed her report as of 10 pm. She began July with $145,000 in cash and since Oct. 4 has raised $29,000.

Comptroller
In the race for state comptroller, Republican Judy Baar Topinka has reported raising $205,000 from July to Oct. 3. The former state treasurer candidate began July with $437,000 in the bank. Since Oct. 4, she has raised another $61,500.Democratic nominee David Miller, a state lawmaker from Lynwood, has raised $30,700 since Oct. 4. He had not filed his report by 10:15 pm. He began July with $159,000 in cash on hand.

Attorney General

According to The Illinois Observer in Chicago the fund-raising contest between Attorney Lisa Madigan (D-Chicago) polling 63% and GOP rival Steve Kim (R-Northbrook) polling 14% is , however, no contest. Madigan is leading Kim’s Since October 1, Madigan has reported raising $212,325. Kim has reported raising $0.Illinois election law requires candidates to report contributions $500 or more 30 days before the election within two business days of receipt of the money. As of June 30, Madigan reported $4,434,234.43 in the bank; Kim, $15,917.77. Key Madigan contributors in the 30-day sprint include homemakers Amy Blum of Winnetka and Suzanne Murray of Chicago. Blum donated $10,000 to Madigan and Murrary, kicked in $50,000, the largest contribution since the 30-day reporting period began. ( David Ormsby 2010 )

The Congressional Race 2010

District 01	Bobby L. Rush (D)*	$496,196
	Raymond G. Wardingley (R)	$0
	Jeff Adams (3)	$0
District 02	Jesse Jackson Jr (D)*	$773,325
	Isaac Hayes (R)	$56,183
	Michael E. Mayden (3)	$0
	Anthony W Williams (3)	$0
District 03	Daniel Lipinski (D)*	$686,247
	Michael A. Bendas (R)	$14,650
	Laurel Lambert Schmidt (3)	$0
District 04	Luis V. Gutierrez (D)*	$463,400
	Israel Vasquez (R)	$0
	Robert J. Burns (3)	$0
District 05	Mike Quigley (D)*	$1,215,095
	David Ratowitz (R)	$57,747
	Terrence A. Gilhooly (3)	$0
	Andrew Williams (3)	$0
	Matt Reichel (3)	$0
District 06	Peter Roskam (R)*	$2,143,412
District 06	Ben. Lowe (D)	$56,606
District 07	Danny K. Davis (D)*	$527,491
	Mark M. Weiman (R)	$0
	Kip Robbins (3)	$0
District 08	Melissa Bean (D)*	$1,945,543
	Joe Walsh (R)	$447,162
	William E. Fraser (I)	$0
	William Curt Scheurer (3)	$0
District 09	Jan Schakowsky (D)*	$1,364,393
	Joel Pollak (R)	$504,667
	Morris Shanfield (3)	$0
District 10	Dan Seals (D)	$2,347,625
District 10	Robert Dold (R)	$2,343,154
District 11	Deborah Halvorson (D)*	$2,481,921
District 11	Adam Kinzinger (R)	$1,511,552
District 12	Jerry F. Costello (D)*	$1,260,482
	Rodger W. Jennings (3)	$445
	Teri Newman (R)	$0
District 13	Judy Biggert (R)*	$1,458,893
District 13	Scott Harper (D)	$590,058
District 14	Bill Foster (D)*	$2,920,315
	Randy Hultgren (R)	$1,203,192
	Daniel J. Kairis (3)	$0
District 15	Timothy V. Johnson (R)*	$302,444
District 15	David Gill (D)	$124,256
District 16	Don Manzullo (R)*	$1,061,810
	George Gaulrapp (D)	$69,604
	Terry G. Campbell (3)	$0
District 17	Phil Hare (D)*	$1,169,749
	Bobby Schilling (R)	$675,896
	Roger K. Davis (3)	$0
District 18	Aaron Schock (R)*	$1,623,606
	Deirdre "Dk" Hirner (D)	$124,195
	Sheldon Schafer (3)	$1,786
District 19	John M. Shimkus (R)*	$1,614,911
District 19	Tim Bagwell (D)	$7,825

* Incumbent
Data last updated: 10/20/2010.