The battle for New York's Governor is among the strangest. While Carl Paladino's campaign has begun to struggle, mostly due to his abrasive personality, he is one of the least unusual candidates running. The race has seven candidates running, one of which is a former prostitute who claims to have dealings with Eliot Spitzer. The most unique character is Jimmy McMillan, running for the Rent is to Dam High Party, who surprisingly is focused on lowering rent. Apart from his impressive facial hair his somewhat absurd statements have added a level of comedic value to the race. The recent debate between the candidates looked evolved far from the issues and was mostly nonsense. Cuomo appears to be pulling ahead once again and will undoubtedly become the next Governor.
Jay
10/21
Thursday, October 21, 2010
South Carolina Update
Haley v Sheheen for Governor
Recent polls have indicated that the race for Governor in South Carolina has tighten, with the realclearpolitics.com average of Haley +7.6 over Sheheen.
The two cadnidates met for their first first televised debate. The two went back and forth attacking each other for their mistakes they have made. Sheheen talked about Haley's trustworthyness and Haley accused Sheheen of profiting from his law firm's lawsuits against state agencies.
As the two talked about issues, there was even more tension. The two will be again debating on October 25th and 26th.
DeMint v Greene for Senate
Not much has happened with this race. Jim DeMint is still leading in polls at +47. In some cases, Democratic nominee Alvin Greene is below Green Party candidates in polling.
Spratt v Mulvaney for the House
John Spratt, a 14-term incumbent is up in the polls but still has steep competition with Mick Mulvaney. Democrats have put more money into Spratt's campaign this term because of Mulvaney. This is still considered a toss up until election day.
Recent polls have indicated that the race for Governor in South Carolina has tighten, with the realclearpolitics.com average of Haley +7.6 over Sheheen.
The two cadnidates met for their first first televised debate. The two went back and forth attacking each other for their mistakes they have made. Sheheen talked about Haley's trustworthyness and Haley accused Sheheen of profiting from his law firm's lawsuits against state agencies.
As the two talked about issues, there was even more tension. The two will be again debating on October 25th and 26th.
DeMint v Greene for Senate
Not much has happened with this race. Jim DeMint is still leading in polls at +47. In some cases, Democratic nominee Alvin Greene is below Green Party candidates in polling.
Spratt v Mulvaney for the House
John Spratt, a 14-term incumbent is up in the polls but still has steep competition with Mick Mulvaney. Democrats have put more money into Spratt's campaign this term because of Mulvaney. This is still considered a toss up until election day.
Missouri Update
There has been little to no change in any of the Missouri elections since last week. The 4th congressional district race between Democrat Ike Skelton and Republican Vicky Hartzler still remains a toss-up. According to Politico, recent polls show that the two are in a dead heat, literally. Each candidate has 42% support, and although there was a margin of error of 5.7%, it still shows a very close race. Furthermore, in the same poll, Skelton's favorability ratings fell in at around 56%, while Hartzler was around 38%. This is very interesting because in the rural 4th district, there are many more Republicans than Democrats, yet the Democratic candidate has received a higher favorability rating. It should be very interesting to see what happens come election day. Poll:Skelton in dead heat
In regards to the 3rd congressional district race between Carnahan (D) and Martin (R), there has been no change since last week. Carnahan still holds the lead by approximately 16 points, and RealClearPolitics has labeled it as "likely Dem".
In the Senate race between Roy Blunt (R), and Robin Carnahan (D), polls show that Blunt has now leapt to a 9.7 point lead; that's up about 2 points from last week.
Blunt ad
Carnahan ad
In regards to the 3rd congressional district race between Carnahan (D) and Martin (R), there has been no change since last week. Carnahan still holds the lead by approximately 16 points, and RealClearPolitics has labeled it as "likely Dem".
In the Senate race between Roy Blunt (R), and Robin Carnahan (D), polls show that Blunt has now leapt to a 9.7 point lead; that's up about 2 points from last week.
Blunt ad
Carnahan ad
Pennsylvania
In the Pennsylvania’s gubernatorial race Tom Corbett (R) still has a commanding lead over his opponent Dan Onorato (D). Real Clear Politics show that Corbett has an average lead of 9.3. Corbett has not faltered during the past two debates and is running a strong effective campaign that continues to gain key endorsements form organizations.
The United States senate race between Joe Sestak (D) and Pat Toomey (R) has tightened. In the last two weeks Sestak has surged in the polls. Toomey once has a commanding lead, but now recent polls show Sestak with a point or two lead. The Real Clear Politics average has Toomey at a 2.8 lead. This is within in the margin of error on many polls and this Senate seat will likely come down to a few thousand votes. President Obama and President Clinton have both campaigned for Sestak last week and have helped raise much needed campaign money. The second and last debate will take place in Pittsburgh this Friday and can be viewed on one of CBS affiliate stations.
Toomey’s new Commercial http://vimeo.com/15839128
Sestak’s new Commercial http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q9SbDnoaYX8&feature=player_embedded#!
New York: NY20, NY24, NY25 and the Senate (Christelle Le Roux)
NY 24:
According to realclearpolitics.com Arcuri seems to winner elections since 2006:
2008: Arcuri (D) 52% Hanna (R) 24.8%
2006: Arcuri (D) 54% Meier (R) 45%
A new poll shows Arcuri 10 points over Hanna, given Arcuri 47% and Hanna 37%
NY 20:
No change for this district which gives the Democract Murphy 54%
NY 25:
The recent polls give the Democrat Maffei, 51% against the Republican Buerkle 39%
Senate:
It clearly shows the Democrat's candidate (Gillibrand) leader for the Senate with 54.7% against DioGuardi with 33.3%
According to realclearpolitics.com Arcuri seems to winner elections since 2006:
2008: Arcuri (D) 52% Hanna (R) 24.8%
2006: Arcuri (D) 54% Meier (R) 45%
A new poll shows Arcuri 10 points over Hanna, given Arcuri 47% and Hanna 37%
NY 20:
No change for this district which gives the Democract Murphy 54%
NY 25:
The recent polls give the Democrat Maffei, 51% against the Republican Buerkle 39%
Senate:
It clearly shows the Democrat's candidate (Gillibrand) leader for the Senate with 54.7% against DioGuardi with 33.3%
Wednesday, October 20, 2010
Arkansas Senate Commercials
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZ3A4sj8XbQ&feature=channel
John Boozman negative campaign ad
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BmJ4CFkZwJc
Blanche Lincoln negative campaign ad
John Boozman negative campaign ad
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BmJ4CFkZwJc
Blanche Lincoln negative campaign ad
Ilinios election Update Oct 20, 2010
Ruby Trowsdell-Thompson
Governor
According to the Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey is reporting Brady is earning 46% of the vote, while Quinn picks up 40%. Democrat-turned-independent Scott Lee Cohen gets four percent (4%) support, and Green Party candidate Rich Whitney has the backing of two percent (2%). Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. Republican State Senator Bill Brady is now leading Democratic Governor Pat Quinn by just six points in Illinois’ in the gubernatorial election. Also, Republican Bill Brady has raised more than $9.3 million from July through Monday in his bid to become governor, edging out Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn, who has collected $8.7 million.
Commercial on You tube:
http://illinoisobserver.org/2010/10/19/illinois-elections-2010-mark-kirk-pat-quinn-youtube-campaign-videos-most-viewed/
U. S Senate
According to the Ramussen report a telephone survey shows that Republican Congressman Mark Kirk (44%) and have raised $8,944,741 Whereas, of Democratic Alexi Giannoulians (40%) have raise 5,684,101 in Illinois it have been up and down race for U.S. Senate. Also, other candidates such as 4% LeAlan Jones,8% Some Other Candidate, Five percent (5%) are undecided.
Secretary of State
According to Clout Street in Chicago the Secretary of State of Illinois Jesse White polling is 60% and raising more than $ 196,000 during the summer reporting and gave $20,000 to the Democrats campaign. White has reported raising more than $96,000since Oct 4 and more than $500,000 in the bank. White is pushing for Highway and Auto Safety have rated Illinois' Graduated Driver Licensing program for new drivers one of the best in the country. In contrast, White’s opponent Republican Robert Enriquez is currently at (15%) and have raised less than $10,000 during the July to early October reporting period. Enriquez had started July with only $3,300 in cash and has not raised any donations of more than $500 since Oct. 4 ( Pearson R 2010).
State Treasurer
Republican state Sen. Dan Rutherford of Chenoa raised $375,000 in the summer reporting period. He began July with more than $1 million and since Oct. 4 has raised another $66,000. His Democratic rival, Robin Kelly, have not filed her report as of 10 pm. She began July with $145,000 in cash and since Oct. 4 has raised $29,000.
In the race for state comptroller, Republican Judy Baar Topinka has reported raising $205,000 from July to Oct. 3. The former state treasurer candidate began July with $437,000 in the bank. Since Oct. 4, she has raised another $61,500.Democratic nominee David Miller, a state lawmaker from Lynwood, has raised $30,700 since Oct. 4. He had not filed his report by 10:15 pm. He began July with $159,000 in cash on hand.
Attorney General
According to The Illinois Observer in Chicago the fund-raising contest between Attorney Lisa Madigan (D-Chicago) polling 63% and GOP rival Steve Kim (R-Northbrook) polling 14% is , however, no contest. Madigan is leading Kim’s Since October 1, Madigan has reported raising $212,325. Kim has reported raising $0.Illinois election law requires candidates to report contributions $500 or more 30 days before the election within two business days of receipt of the money. As of June 30, Madigan reported $4,434,234.43 in the bank; Kim, $15,917.77. Key Madigan contributors in the 30-day sprint include homemakers Amy Blum of Winnetka and Suzanne Murray of Chicago. Blum donated $10,000 to Madigan and Murrary, kicked in $50,000, the largest contribution since the 30-day reporting period began. ( David Ormsby 2010 )The Congressional Race 2010
| Bobby L. Rush (D)* |  $496,196 | |
| Raymond G. Wardingley (R) |  $0 | |
| Jeff Adams (3) | $0 | |
| Jesse Jackson Jr (D)* |  $773,325 | |
| Isaac Hayes (R) |  $56,183 | |
| Michael E. Mayden (3) | $0 | |
| Anthony W Williams (3) | $0 | |
| Daniel Lipinski (D)* |  $686,247 | |
| Michael A. Bendas (R) | $14,650 | |
| Laurel Lambert Schmidt (3) | $0 | |
| Luis V. Gutierrez (D)* | $463,400 | |
| Israel Vasquez (R) | $0 | |
| Robert J. Burns (3) | $0 | |
| Mike Quigley (D)* |  $1,215,095 | |
| David Ratowitz (R) | $57,747 | |
| Terrence A. Gilhooly (3) | $0 | |
| Andrew Williams (3) | $0 | |
| Matt Reichel (3) | $0 | |
| Peter Roskam (R)* |  $2,143,412 | |
| Ben. Lowe (D) | $56,606 | |
| Danny K. Davis (D)* |  $527,491 | |
| Mark M. Weiman (R) | $0 | |
| Kip Robbins (3) | $0 | |
| Melissa Bean (D)* |  $1,945,543 | |
| Joe Walsh (R) | $447,162 | |
| William E. Fraser (I) | $0 | |
| William Curt Scheurer (3) | $0 | |
| Jan Schakowsky (D)* |  $1,364,393 | |
| Joel Pollak (R) | $504,667 | |
| Morris Shanfield (3) | $0 | |
| Dan Seals (D) |  $2,347,625 | |
| Robert Dold (R) | $2,343,154 | |
| Deborah Halvorson (D)* |  $2,481,921 | |
| Adam Kinzinger (R) |  $1,511,552 | |
| Jerry F. Costello (D)* |  $1,260,482 | |
| Rodger W. Jennings (3) | $445 | |
| Teri Newman (R) | $0 | |
| Judy Biggert (R)* |  $1,458,893 | |
| Scott Harper (D) |  $590,058 | |
| Bill Foster (D)* |  $2,920,315 | |
| Randy Hultgren (R) |  $1,203,192 | |
| Daniel J. Kairis (3) | $0 | |
| Timothy V. Johnson (R)* |  $302,444 | |
| David Gill (D) |  $124,256 | |
| Don Manzullo (R)* |  $1,061,810 | |
| George Gaulrapp (D) | $69,604 | |
| Terry G. Campbell (3) | $0 | |
| Phil Hare (D)* | $1,169,749 | |
| Bobby Schilling (R) | $675,896 | |
| Roger K. Davis (3) | $0 | |
| Aaron Schock (R)* |  $1,623,606 | |
| Deirdre "Dk" Hirner (D) | $124,195 | |
| Sheldon Schafer (3) | $1,786 | |
| John M. Shimkus (R)* | $1,614,911 | |
| Tim Bagwell (D) | $7,825 |
Data last updated: 10/20/2010.
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