While weeks of stalemate in Nevada’s two contentious races, the Senate seat and the 3rd House District, have created a plethora of negative ads without much honest policy discussion, the last week demonstrated that conservatives may finally be pulling ahead. In the 3rd House District race, Republican Joe Heck now leads Democratic incumbent Dina Titus by a minute margin (+0.3% according to Real Clear Politics), but he has nonetheless regained the lead. According to the Las Vegas Sun (10/6/10), a recent poll of Nevada voters demonstrated that Heck is beginning to pull far ahead of Titus among independent voters and that a majority of Nevadans will consider Obama’s approval rating when going to the polls this November. Within the district, approximately 60% of voters disapprove of the Obama administration; analysts agree that Obama’s decreasing popularity is having a direct impact on Titus’ dropping poll numbers.
The Angle campaign is probably feeling slightly better this week as they have regained a small lead (+0.3%) over Reid. While that small lead may not seem like much, very small changes in this race may indicate just enough of a political shift from one side to the other to give one candidate more confidence going into November. It should be noted that Reid has held a small lead the last several weeks.
Taking the negative ads to the next level, Angle has recently released a new ad where she claims that Reid wanted to use tax dollars to provide convicted child molesters and sex offenders with Viagra. The Reid campaign has stated that the ad is misleading and distorts the truth. Nonetheless, neither Angle nor Reid can seem to maintain civility at this point in their close Senate race.
No significant changes have occurred in the 1st or 2nd House District races, or in the Governor’s race.
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